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EMPIRICAL PERFORMANCE ANALYTICS

Verified Evidence & Returns

Explore cumulative equity curves, drawdowns, and trade attributions derived from frozen scientific ledgers under canonical 38.0 bps roundtrip friction.

Net Portfolio Return
+8.00%
Canonical 38 bps RT friction applied
Maximum Drawdown
-2.88%
Peak-to-trough equity
Completed Trades
97
Win Rate: 61.9%
Profit Factor
2.67
Sharpe: 1.71

Compare with Buy & Hold (HODL)

Buy & Hold (HODL Benchmark)

During the 2026 validation window, raw crypto markets suffered severe drawdowns (-28.4%), while StrataRelay preserved capital and delivered +8.00% net alpha.

StrataRelay Quant Model
+8.00%Max DD: -2.88%
Buy & Hold (HODL) Benchmark
-4.20%Max DD: -28.40%
Alpha vs Buy & Hold
+12.20%Capital Protected

Testing Methodology & Verification Timeline

March 2026 – Present (Live Walk-Forward Validation)

To ensure mathematical validity, StrataRelay strictly segregates historical model training from out-of-sample testing. The models never look ahead into future data, and all results deduct 38 basis points round-trip execution friction.

Understanding Model Specializations & Market Regimes

OmniCycle Multi-Regime Architecture (Full Cycle 2021–2026)
Full Cycle

Trained across complete multi-year macroeconomic cycles (bull rallies, bear crashes, institutional post-ETF regimes). Employs adaptive holding horizons—trailing profits up to 6–8 days during strong structural bull expansions while dynamically reverting to strict capital protection during chop and bear phases.

Specialized Tactical Models (Core V3.7 & SOL Series)
Tactical Range

Engineered specifically for the modern institutional, range-bound market structure of recent years. Operating with shorter tactical holding windows (~24–48 hours) to lock in gains quickly in high-frequency chop without giving back profits. On older vertical bull rallies (e.g. 2021) these tactical models prioritize capital preservation over buy-and-hold risk, whereas on recent data (2025–2026) they demonstrate superior consistency and win rates.

Cumulative Normalized Equity Curve ($10,000 Initial)

Untouched Holdout

Evaluation period: 2026-03-24 to 2026-09-20 (Holdout)

StrataRelay Quant ModelBuy & Hold (HODL) Benchmark
Uncompounded Base
$6,500$7,625$8,750$9,875$11,000Mar 24, 2026May 05, 2026Jun 18, 2026Aug 02, 2026Sep 20, 2026+$800.00 (+8.0%)

Historical Drawdown Profile (%)

Max DD: -2.88%
0.0%-1.0%-2.0%-3.0%-4.0%-2.88%

Monthly Returns Breakdown (2026 Holdout)

Click a quarter or month card to isolate its equity curve

Sample: 97 trades
Our Quantitative Research Standards

All models are trained with causal, stationary feature representations avoiding lookahead bias. Evaluations strictly enforce 38.0 bps canonical roundtrip friction (10 bps maker/taker fee plus 9 bps simulated slippage per side). We separate Backtest from Out-of-Sample (OOS) and Forward Paper validation.